Saturday, June 11, 2011

The AFB AAPL Price Target Index - June 2011 Edition

The Apple Finance Board is home to some of the best known and hardest working independent AAPL analysts on the blogosphere. As a service to the members of the AFB, a popular and well respected discussion board, I'm hosting the index of AFB AAPL price targets and share price forecasts developed by the members. 
Index participants submitted AAPL price targets for the first trading day of the month following the release of Apple's quarterly earnings reports through May 1, 2012 and associated ranges for the share price. The dates chosen for the quarterly price targets represent the first trading day of the month following the release of Apple's quarterly earnings reports, providing time for the markets to adjust the company's valuation based on the the most recent quarterly numbers. 
Comments on the index can be made at the bottom of this post and for registered members of the AFB in the topic created specifically for this discussion.  
The graphs and data table below indicate the average AAPL price targets of the index participants. The price targets and price range forecasts of each of the participants is listed below the averages. Thank  you to the AFB members participating in the index for the benefit of our readers.





AFB
Index
Averages







Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
352
418
397






Nov 1, 2011
394
470
445






Feb 1, 2012
438
518
498






May 1, 2012
478
558
547


AFB member Price Targets included in the index:


Mav




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
388
411
454






Nov 1, 2011
440
467
516






Feb 1, 2012
503
534
590






May 1, 2012
560
595
657






Tetrachhoride




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
384
420
408






Nov 1, 2011
438
480
466






Feb 1, 2012
480
525
510






May 1, 2012
496
543
527






Andy M. Zaky




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
243
426
365






Nov 1, 2011
285
498
427






Feb 1, 2012
316
553
474






May 1, 2012
342
550
500






snoozzzer




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
340
375
370






Nov 1, 2011
360
420
420






Feb 1, 2012
410
465
450






May 1, 2012
435
500
480






DawnTreader




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
381
428
404






Nov 1, 2011
440
495
467






Feb 1, 2012
497
559
528






May 1, 2012
553
622
587






johnG




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
329
405
383






Nov 1, 2011
365
455
428






Feb 1, 2012
411
509
482






May 1, 2012
448
554
525






Dennyhil




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
370
430
415






Nov 1, 2011
415
480
460






Feb 1, 2012
460
540
520






May 1, 2012
520
580
540






Apple II +




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
362
461
399






Nov 1, 2011
411
489
425






Feb 1, 2012
458
525
478






May 1, 2012
498
554
526






mjuarez




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
375
410
434






Nov 1, 2011
415
466
475






Feb 1, 2012
465
524
576






May 1, 2012
525
575
635






Luigitartaglino




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
370
410
380






Nov 1, 2011
400
450
415






Feb 1, 2012
420
460
445






May 1, 2012
450
500
460






Mikedmvp




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
335
425
370






Nov 1, 2011
385
455
405






Feb 1, 2012
410
450
425






May 1, 2012
445
475
565






deagol




Date
Low
High
Target

Aug 1, 2011
350
420
385






Nov 1, 2011
380
490
435






Feb 1, 2012
420
570
495






May 1, 2012
470
650
560


Robert Paul Leitao
Disclosure: The author is long AAPL shares
Posts At Eventide Resource Guide
The objective of the Posts At Eventide web presence is to benefit readers seeking to understand Apple's financial performance and to serve as a repository of information and analysis for other independent AAPL analysts preparing quarterly estimates and share price forecasts. Please see the Posts At Eventide Resource Guide for more information.

4 comments:

  1. Why not have the past quarter targets and actuals. It would be helpful in seeing how accurate this group is collectively and individually to see the targets and actuals for past periods.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Agree with Anonymous. There does seem to be a huge discrepancy between this group's targets and actuals.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I publish this index as a service to members of the AFB. The value in my view is the consensus among the analysts polled. The interim price targets are helpful in determining the extent to which AAPL is trading above or below the anticipated earnings trajectory at particular points in time.

    I don't expect AAPL to reach my $590 price target in movements along a straight line.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Would love to also see what their target Rev and EPS are

    ReplyDelete